Pulmonary embolism risk in critically ill patients with COVID-19: an instrumental variable analysis using differential application of thromboprophylaxis guidelines (preprint)

Thrombotic complications are common in Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, with pulmonary embolism (PE) being the most frequent. Randomised trials have provided inconclusive results on the optimal dosage of thromboprophylaxis in critically ill COVID-19 patients. We utilized data from the multicentre CAPACITY-COVID patient registry to assess the effect of differential application of Low Molecular Weight Heparin (LMWH) dose protocols on PE and in-hospital mortality risk in critically ill COVID-19 patients. An instrumental variable analysis was performed to estimate the intention-to-treat effect, utilizing differences in thromboprophylaxis prescribing behaviour between hospitals. We included 939 patients with PCR confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection from 34 hospitals. Two-hundred-and-one patients (21%) developed a PE. The adjusted cause-specific HR of PE was 0.92 (95% CI: 0.73–1.16) per doubling of LMWH dose. The adjusted cause-specific HR for in-hospital mortality was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.65–1.02) per doubling of LMWH dose. This dose-response relationship was shown to be non-linear. To conclude, this study did not find evidence for an effect of LMWH dose on the risk of PE, but suggested a non-linear decreased risk of in-hospital mortality for higher doses of LMWH. However, uncertainty remains, and the dose-response relationship between LMWH dose and in-hospital mortality needs further investigation in well-designed studies.

Absence of rapid T cell control corresponds with delayed viral clearance in hospitalised COVID-19 patients (preprint)

SARS-CoV-2 viral load is associated with disease severity. A better understanding of immunological mechanisms involved in viral clearance is crucial to guide new therapeutic strategies. Here, we studied the timing of viral clearance in relation to 122 immune parameters in 150 hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Delayed viral clearance was associated with more severe disease, which occurred after the virus had been cleared in most cases. Paradoxically, delayed viral clearance was associated with over time higher maximum levels of SARS-CoV-2 specific IgG, IgA, and neutralizing antibodies, increased numbers of eosinophils, monocytes, and pro-inflammatory cyto-/chemokines. In contrast, early viral clearance and less critical illness correlated with higher levels of CD4 + and CD8 + T cells. Collectively, our data show that absence of rapid T cell control corresponds with delayed clearance and aberrant antibody and cytokine profiles. Viral clearance often precedes critical illness, which suggests immunopathology as underlying mechanism. These data can guide treatment strategies.